The Ivory Billed Woodpecker
1.What is the major conflict between Brad and Mary in terms of the Scientific Process? Make a list of Brad's arguments and valid pieces of evidence and Mary's response to each.
Brad's argument Mary's response
* A footage of an Ivory bill *How can you be so sure it's ivory bill?
is enough evidence that why can't it be other birds with similar characteristics.
they're not extinct.
*he said that they have 17,000 * you still can't be sure because there are
hours of voice evidence. other birds that can make the same
sound
*There are seven eye witnesses *doesn't think they got a good look
2. What do you think about Brad's concern that by waiting with the
announcement they could miss their chance to save the
birds.
From the evidence provided the fact that Ivory Bills exist is less supported because there should be some kind of evidence that says they are 100% there, in a big forest like that pictures and sounds can't be evidence they exist, and you don't protect something that is believed to be there but don't actually exist.
3. imagine you are
the owner of a company that owns the logging rights adjacent to the area of the
woodpecker sightings, or a biologist trying to protect the habitat of another
endangered species in another part of the state. Do you think that they would be
satisfied with the same amount of evidence in this case as Brad? Why or why
not?
No, because even though they have a close evidence, but there are a whole lot variety of possibilities it could be a similar kind.
4. What is the right amount of evidence? How can you
determine the answer to that questions?
The right amount of evidence could be something that proves that they live 100%, like a DNA.
5. Give other examples
of public discourse, policy decisions, or controversial issues where your
insights from this case would be applied.
People could say something about it, like if they want it to be investigated more, or till they get an actual evidence about the bird.
6. Decide how much
evidence you would need to accept that the Ivory-billed Woodpecker
is not extinct.
An actual DNA of the bird
7. Decide how much evidence you would need to accept that
the Ivory-billed Woodpecker is extinct.
If those pictures were proved that they are other types of birds or the sounds are some kind of other bird.
8. Put yourself in
Brad's position--what would you have told the reporter?
There might be a possibility they might be there but nothing is confirmed because there's no evidence that supports it 100%.
9. Does
it matter to you who presents the evidence?
Yes, if they are experts I have a reason to believe them, than a non-expert person.
10. Who presented
the evidence in the real Ivory-billed Woodpecker cause (who was present at the
press conference)?
Brad
Brad's argument Mary's response
* A footage of an Ivory bill *How can you be so sure it's ivory bill?
is enough evidence that why can't it be other birds with similar characteristics.
they're not extinct.
*he said that they have 17,000 * you still can't be sure because there are
hours of voice evidence. other birds that can make the same
sound
*There are seven eye witnesses *doesn't think they got a good look
2. What do you think about Brad's concern that by waiting with the
announcement they could miss their chance to save the
birds.
From the evidence provided the fact that Ivory Bills exist is less supported because there should be some kind of evidence that says they are 100% there, in a big forest like that pictures and sounds can't be evidence they exist, and you don't protect something that is believed to be there but don't actually exist.
3. imagine you are
the owner of a company that owns the logging rights adjacent to the area of the
woodpecker sightings, or a biologist trying to protect the habitat of another
endangered species in another part of the state. Do you think that they would be
satisfied with the same amount of evidence in this case as Brad? Why or why
not?
No, because even though they have a close evidence, but there are a whole lot variety of possibilities it could be a similar kind.
4. What is the right amount of evidence? How can you
determine the answer to that questions?
The right amount of evidence could be something that proves that they live 100%, like a DNA.
5. Give other examples
of public discourse, policy decisions, or controversial issues where your
insights from this case would be applied.
People could say something about it, like if they want it to be investigated more, or till they get an actual evidence about the bird.
6. Decide how much
evidence you would need to accept that the Ivory-billed Woodpecker
is not extinct.
An actual DNA of the bird
7. Decide how much evidence you would need to accept that
the Ivory-billed Woodpecker is extinct.
If those pictures were proved that they are other types of birds or the sounds are some kind of other bird.
8. Put yourself in
Brad's position--what would you have told the reporter?
There might be a possibility they might be there but nothing is confirmed because there's no evidence that supports it 100%.
9. Does
it matter to you who presents the evidence?
Yes, if they are experts I have a reason to believe them, than a non-expert person.
10. Who presented
the evidence in the real Ivory-billed Woodpecker cause (who was present at the
press conference)?
Brad